The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1018 | 54% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1020 | 44% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1223 | 19% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1202 | 37% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1136 | 43% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1086 | 1052 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1105 | 1190 | 38% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1078.5 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).