The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (17 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-09-20 | | Won |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2024-03-31 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2021-05-23 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1226 | 18% | 2020-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-03-06 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1022 | 75% | 2011-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1136 | 57% | 2009-08-06 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2005-01-14 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2005-01-14 | | Won |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2003-06-28 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2003-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2002-05-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1047.8 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).