The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 1025 | 1020 | 51% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1161 | 22% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 956 | 1223 | 18% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1248 | 27% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1181 | 1000 | 74% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1134 | 36% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1053 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1152 | 1187 | 45% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1087.7 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).