Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 169 (34 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 86
Defender wins (Dutch): 83
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 944 | 57% | 2026-02-19 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2025-06-12 | A | Lost |
| 1187 | 1044 | 69% | 2024-11-14 | | Won |
| 987 | 999 | 48% | 2024-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2024-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 841 | 71% | 2024-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 932 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-05-30 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2020-01-04 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-12-19 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-07-16 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2017-01-30 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1092 | 51% | 2016-06-18 | | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2015-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1024 | 70% | 2015-04-26 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1073 | 70% | 2015-01-16 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-10-20 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-08-09 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2008-09-22 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2008-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2008-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2007-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1097 | 38% | 2005-12-19 | | Won |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2004-05-15 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1024 | 46% | 2002-12-01 | | Won |
| 1269 | 1141 | 68% | 2001-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2001-09-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1077.6 vs 1000.6 has a 60.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).