The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (18 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1158 | 30% | 2024-07-31 | Won |
| 1044 | 1007 | 55% | 2023-06-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1031 | 45% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 882 | 970 | 38% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1064 | 57% | 2017-09-11 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1173 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1259 | 967 | 84% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 982 | 968 | 52% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2013-03-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1081 | 60% | 2008-04-12 | Won |
| 1097 | 1106 | 49% | 2005-10-08 | Tied |
| 982 | 931 | 57% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 931 | 1004 | 40% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
| 1069 | 982 | 62% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1025.4 has a 52.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).