Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 182 (23 on the archive and 159 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 91
Defender wins (French): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 951 | 68% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
| 972 | 1001 | 46% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 992 | 973 | 53% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 913 | 917 | 49% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2021-03-03 | Won |
| 1001 | 1127 | 33% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 940 | 1051 | 35% | 2019-09-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1111 | 31% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1186 | 918 | 82% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1220 | 954 | 82% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 931 | 1078 | 30% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-01-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1035 | 64% | 2007-03-07 | Won |
| 1122 | 1044 | 61% | 2002-12-31 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1151 | 45% | 2002-10-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1031 | 48% | 2001-10-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2001-05-29 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1015.2 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).