Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 212 (43 on the archive and 169 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 116
Defender wins (Dutch): 96
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2026-01-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 985 | 57% | 2026-01-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1040 | 52% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-12-19 | Won |
| 950 | 1036 | 38% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-11-08 | Won |
| 1090 | 1032 | 58% | 2023-05-18 | Lost |
| 985 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1082 | 54% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1022 | 1082 | 41% | 2021-10-20 | Won |
| 1112 | 1084 | 54% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1182 | 1099 | 62% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 983 | 47% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1204 | 31% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 925 | 68% | 2016-05-16 | Won |
| 964 | 1090 | 33% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 916 | 1122 | 23% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1035 | 46% | 2014-07-18 | Lost |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2014-07-03 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1150 | 33% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
| 1028 | 1029 | 50% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 879 | 70% | 2009-03-22 | Won |
| 871 | 1037 | 28% | 2008-11-01 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1123 | 85% | 2008-09-07 | Won |
| 1174 | 1068 | 65% | 2008-03-29 | Won |
| 862 | 1091 | 21% | 2007-07-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2006-11-25 | Won |
| 1186 | 1026 | 72% | 2005-09-22 | Won |
| 931 | 1138 | 23% | 2005-09-15 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1112 | 40% | 2005-05-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-05-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-05-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 1020 | 63% | 2002-06-15 | Won |
| 934 | 982 | 43% | 2002-06-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 866 | 85% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1004 | 59% | 2002-01-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1174 | 25% | 2002-01-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1070 | 45% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2001-08-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 992 | 65% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
| 861 | 1083 | 22% | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1055.7 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).