By Ourselves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 34
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1018 | 1010 | 51% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1029 | 45% | 2025-03-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 991 | 55% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1029 | 56% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 896 | 956 | 41% | 2024-12-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 971 | 59% | 2024-03-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1013 | 55% | 2023-07-26 | Lost |
| 979 | 996 | 48% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 969 | 54% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 950 | 943 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 889 | 73% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 1163 | 1132 | 54% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2023-02-14 | Lost |
| 885 | 896 | 48% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1102 | 1010 | 63% | 2022-11-18 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-09-13 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1023 | 51% | 2022-08-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2022-06-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1252 | 749 | 95% | 2022-05-09 | Won |
| 841 | 1100 | 18% | 2022-05-08 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1048 | 52% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 996 | 66% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1019 | 71% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 998 | 878 | 67% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 1038 | 39% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 966 | 914 | 57% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1057 | 50% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 896 | 1094 | 24% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1057 | 48% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2019-09-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1007 | 51% | 2019-09-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1055 | 31% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 949 | 60% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1058 | 1113 | 42% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1048 | 49% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1075 | 979 | 63% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-03-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1001 | 58% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1202 | 30% | 2016-11-13 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1105 | 53% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1042 | 53% | 2015-11-19 | Won |
| 914 | 1193 | 17% | 2015-07-09 | Lost |
| 1193 | 990 | 76% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1193 | 23% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1140 | 47% | 2013-10-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1100 | 49% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 963 | 75% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1092 | 1060 | 55% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1058 | 73% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-04-20 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1113 | 85% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1313 | 13% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1202 | 26% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1053 | 82% | 2006-01-31 | Won |
| 1099 | 1105 | 49% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
| 1105 | 979 | 67% | 2005-09-06 | Won |
| 983 | 974 | 51% | 2005-07-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1004 | 63% | 2004-04-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-02-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1133 | 45% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 1264 | 1000 | 82% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
| 1202 | 999 | 76% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 847 | 986 | 31% | 2002-06-14 | Won |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1030.5 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).