By Ourselves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 33
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-03-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 991 | 55% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1072 | 1028 | 56% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 903 | 956 | 42% | 2024-12-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 952 | 61% | 2024-03-30 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1001 | 56% | 2023-07-26 | Lost |
| 1025 | 996 | 54% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 968 | 57% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 943 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 875 | 75% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 1163 | 1132 | 54% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2023-02-14 | Lost |
| 1003 | 903 | 64% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1101 | 1030 | 60% | 2022-11-18 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-09-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-08-09 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2022-06-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2022-05-09 | Won |
| 841 | 1100 | 18% | 2022-05-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 995 | 58% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1018 | 63% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1019 | 71% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 960 | 878 | 62% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 962 | 1038 | 39% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1028 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 903 | 1093 | 25% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1015 | 54% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 1161 | 22% | 2019-09-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1021 | 49% | 2019-09-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1046 | 33% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1016 | 949 | 60% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1113 | 42% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1038 | 995 | 56% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1089 | 979 | 65% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1015 | 45% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2017-03-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 1017 | 56% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1002 | 58% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1248 | 25% | 2016-11-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1042 | 53% | 2015-11-19 | Won |
| 914 | 1219 | 15% | 2015-07-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 990 | 79% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1219 | 20% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1140 | 47% | 2013-10-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1098 | 49% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 1149 | 964 | 74% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1161 | 1058 | 64% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1058 | 73% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-04-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 1336 | 11% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1412 | 1113 | 85% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1248 | 21% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1051 | 84% | 2006-01-31 | Won |
| 1095 | 1152 | 42% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 978 | 73% | 2005-09-06 | Won |
| 983 | 974 | 51% | 2005-07-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1005 | 63% | 2004-04-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-02-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1116 | 48% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 1264 | 1003 | 82% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
| 1248 | 999 | 81% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 847 | 986 | 31% | 2002-06-14 | Won |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1031.1 has a 53.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).