The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1080 | 44% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 989 | 983 | 51% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 951 | 1033 | 38% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1002 | 69% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 901 | 928 | 46% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 901 | 68% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 993 | 878 | 66% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 926 | 1061 | 31% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1126 | 34% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1001 | 70% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1137 | 1116 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 964 | 1142 | 26% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1083 | 53% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2007-03-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1010 | 62% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1012 | 1030 | 47% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 986 | 61% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1089 | 39% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1021.8 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).