The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1120 | 51% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1133 | 37% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 995 | 1040 | 44% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 950 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 996 | 70% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 896 | 68% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 998 | 878 | 67% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 926 | 1062 | 31% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1127 | 40% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1027 | 69% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 966 | 914 | 57% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 975 | 1144 | 27% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1085 | 53% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2007-03-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1057 | 1030 | 54% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 986 | 61% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1090 | 45% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1033.2 has a 52.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).