Nocturnal Attrition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-01-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1106 | 998 | 65% | 2014-10-20 | Won |
| 954 | 1066 | 34% | 2014-03-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1117 | 38% | 2005-05-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1148 | 38% | 2000-03-05 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1059 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1045.8 has a 54.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).