The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (9 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 993 | 1170 | 27% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1103 | 49% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2000-04-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1054 | 41% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1001.2 vs 1061.2 has a 41.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).