The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (9 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1144 | 954 | 75% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 993 | 1216 | 22% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2000-04-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1003 | 48% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1000.7 vs 1049.2 has a 43.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).