The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
955 | 1016 | 41% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
1142 | 939 | 76% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
951 | 1260 | 14% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
1048 | 1032 | 52% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
992 | 1072 | 39% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1045.3 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).