The Guns of Naro
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1266 | 1280 | 48% | 2024-02-22 | Won |
| 1214 | 1214 | 50% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 954 | 58% | 2022-07-10 | Lost |
| 901 | 928 | 46% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1092 | 1085 | 51% | 2021-03-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 1066 | 958 | 65% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 986 | 1302 | 14% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 911 | 73% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1142 | 964 | 74% | 2014-07-06 | Won |
| 991 | 949 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2012-04-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1013 | 54% | 2003-08-08 | Won |
| 920 | 978 | 42% | 2000-04-07 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1166 | 29% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1042.8 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).