Merzenhausen Zoo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 185 (29 on the archive and 156 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 81
Defender wins (German): 103
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1083 | 63% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2022-12-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1085 | 39% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2022-10-10 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1118 | 1213 | 37% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1092 | 49% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1010 | 45% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1216 | 36% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1216 | 923 | 84% | 2018-01-01 | Tied |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2016-08-24 | Won |
| 1039 | 976 | 59% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1028 | 60% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 964 | 68% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1115 | 36% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1090 | 58% | 2011-04-29 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1183 | 975 | 77% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1405 | 1285 | 67% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
| 1208 | 847 | 89% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2003-02-25 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1017 | 75% | 2000-12-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-09-24 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-07-11 | Won |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2000-06-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 790 | 78% | 2000-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1093.8 vs 1025.5 has a 59.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).