Merzenhausen Zoo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 187 (31 on the archive and 156 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 81
Defender wins (German): 105
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1085 | 63% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 768 | 971 | 24% | 2022-12-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1074 | 41% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2022-10-10 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1116 | 1193 | 39% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1111 | 52% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 1048 | 40% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1215 | 36% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1215 | 993 | 78% | 2018-01-01 | Tied |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2016-08-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1051 | 57% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 975 | 66% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1094 | 39% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1092 | 61% | 2011-04-29 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1285 | 68% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 985 | 72% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 1202 | 846 | 89% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2003-02-25 | Lost |
| 1148 | 999 | 70% | 2001-10-06 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2000-12-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-09-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-07-11 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2000-06-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 790 | 82% | 2000-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1034.1 has a 59.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).