Hamlet's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (12 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 82
Defender wins (French): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1033 | 913 | 67% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
964 | 958 | 51% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
1089 | 956 | 68% | 2023-12-19 | Won |
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
954 | 958 | 49% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
1012 | 987 | 54% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
1029 | 959 | 60% | 2008-06-10 | Won |
1183 | 1044 | 69% | 2006-01-14 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-05-20 | Won |
1115 | 1012 | 64% | 1999-05-10 | Lost |
1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-02-07 | Won |
984 | 1169 | 26% | 1997-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1002.3 has a 57.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).