Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 116 (31 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 38
Defender wins (Chinese): 77
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1027 | 52% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 925 | 870 | 58% | 2024-09-19 | Won |
| 991 | 959 | 55% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 1086 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1094 | 46% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 966 | 43% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1025 | 82% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1001 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1010 | 988 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1029 | 44% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 847 | 870 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1103 | 879 | 78% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1012 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 961 | 50% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
| 949 | 1057 | 35% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 2002-10-09 | Lost |
| 972 | 1045 | 40% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1283 | 51% | 1999-03-07 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1094 | 49% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
| 1292 | 1283 | 51% | 1997-10-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1283 | 32% | 1997-09-13 | Lost |
| 1159 | 978 | 74% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1040.3 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).