Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (27 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 38
Defender wins (Chinese): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1003 | 52% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2024-09-19 | Won |
| 936 | 959 | 47% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 971 | 1058 | 38% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1047 | 996 | 57% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1084 | 1093 | 49% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1083 | 48% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 966 | 43% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 936 | 52% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1010 | 988 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 950 | 1118 | 28% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 882 | 78% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1013 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 961 | 56% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
| 954 | 1057 | 36% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 2002-10-09 | Lost |
| 972 | 1031 | 42% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1083 | 50% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 977 | 76% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1008.8 vs 1008.6 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).