In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 286 (49 on the archive and 237 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 135
Defender wins (German): 150
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 1042 | 1006 | 55% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1093 | 1110 | 48% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1001 | 55% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 850 | 999 | 30% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1018 | 49% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1225 | 34% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1225 | 22% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1108 | 35% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1266 | 18% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 1038 | 46% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 901 | 978 | 39% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 901 | 1050 | 30% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 901 | 1050 | 30% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 901 | 960 | 42% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1105 | 901 | 76% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1002 | 935 | 60% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1083 | 1195 | 34% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1083 | 72% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 929 | 84% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1093 | 56% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1039 | 58% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 874 | 982 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 982 | 1029 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 982 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1017 | 42% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 909 | 982 | 40% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1149 | 1043 | 65% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1029 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 978 | 53% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1069 | 69% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1012 | 929 | 62% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 1169 | 23% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1169 | 959 | 77% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 934 | 83% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 901 | 76% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1051.2 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).