Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
966 | 1017 | 43% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
966 | 953 | 52% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
1051 | 993 | 58% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
1129 | 1081 | 57% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
976 | 1065 | 37% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
957 | 1021 | 41% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
939 | 1223 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
982 | 1100 | 34% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
999 | 1107 | 35% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
975 | 1055 | 39% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
1040 | 987 | 58% | 2002-07-05 | Won |
1106 | 1065 | 56% | 2001-12-09 | Lost |
1040 | 1112 | 40% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
712 | 1151 | 7% | 1997-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 988.4 vs 1066.4 has a 38.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).