Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 186 (35 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 84
Defender wins (German): 101
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 983 | 53% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 996 | 1112 | 34% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 923 | 954 | 46% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1047 | 57% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 931 | 68% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1250 | 996 | 81% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 996 | 1094 | 36% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 917 | 71% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1142 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 998 | 54% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1114 | 931 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 986 | 70% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 992 | 51% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 999 | 39% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1310 | 13% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 901 | 91% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1285 | 54% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 962 | 57% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1106 | 977 | 68% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 935 | 68% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1030.7 has a 53.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).