The Road to Gora
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (7 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2014-01-15 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1069 | 40% | 2002-01-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 1105 | 47% | 1997-05-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 856 | 81% | 1996-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1006.6 has a 51.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).