The Road to Gora
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (7 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1075 | 35% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 967 | 1075 | 35% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 948 | 58% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1002 | 42% | 2014-01-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1097 | 38% | 2002-01-17 | Won |
| 1035 | 950 | 62% | 1997-05-04 | Won |
| 1127 | 866 | 82% | 1996-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008 vs 1001.9 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).