The Road to Gora
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (7 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 954 | 54% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 948 | 984 | 45% | 2014-01-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2002-01-17 | Won |
| 1050 | 1106 | 42% | 1997-05-04 | Won |
| 1169 | 856 | 86% | 1996-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1009 vs 1012.9 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).