Fighting Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2023-10-15 | A | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2006-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2002-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2002-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2002-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1996-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 991.6 vs 1053.4 has a 41.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).