Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1149 | 37% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1248 | 26% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1089 | 910 | 74% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
| 910 | 1089 | 26% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1181 | 29% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1081 | 60% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 944 | 76% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1001 | 1014 | 48% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1014 | 48% | 1998-01-07 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1015 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1069.7 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).