ASL Scenario Archive

Wintergewitter

Games with no balance used/recorded: 341 (36 on the archive and 305 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 194

Defender wins (Russian): 146

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1077	1045	55%	2025-01-27	Won
1181	1045	69%	2025-01-27	Won
1011	1152	31%	2025-01-26	Won
1043	1001	56%	2023-09-06	Lost
943	996	42%	2021-12-14	Won
996	1132	31%	2021-04-21	Lost
1078	1035	56%	2021-02-02	Lost
984	944	56%	2020-09-24	Lost
1037	1037	50%	2020-06-21	Won
1035	1219	26%	2019-05-17	Won
1088	1088	50%	2018-03-24	Won
996	1257	18%	2016-12-18	Won
1084	950	68%	2016-12-10	Won
1021	964	58%	2016-08-27	Won
976	1058	38%	2015-05-23	Won
1244	1086	71%	2014-11-07	Won
889	942	42%	2014-08-18	Won
1015	939	61%	2013-10-11	Won
1066	951	66%	2013-08-27	Won
1003	934	60%	2012-10-27	Won
1097	1031	59%	2012-10-26	Lost
1116	1116	50%	2011-08-27	Lost
1031	1125	37%	2010-12-28	Won
1037	1027	51%	2009-12-05	Won
1149	1125	53%	2009-10-04	Won
1412	901	95%	2006-06-16	Won
1285	1336	43%	2006-02-26	Lost
1181	1022	71%	2005-08-14	Won
996	995	50%	2004-12-14	Won
1097	995	64%	2004-12-14	Won
1002	1072	40%	2004-02-09	Won
1089	1008	61%	2003-11-11	Won
911	995	38%	2001-12-29	Won
1154	1116	55%	2000-03-19	Won
959	1152	25%	1996-07-28	Lost
1121	1117	51%		Won

Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1053 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).