Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 48
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2026-02-24 | Won |
| 1123 | 1423 | 15% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2022-12-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2019-07-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2011-01-02 | Won |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2004-04-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1015 | 58% | 2004-03-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1032 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1081 has a 45.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).