Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 48
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 2026-02-24 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1435 | 15% | 2024-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2023-11-03 | | Won |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2022-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-08-10 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2019-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-08-11 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2012-07-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2011-01-02 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2004-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2004-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 1999-07-01 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1074.8 has a 46.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).