The Dinant Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (French): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2023-11-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1177 | 32% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2014-11-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 1989-01-24 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1062.5 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).