Chateau de Quesnoy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (12 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1006 | 54% | 2023-09-17 | A | Lost |
| 1082 | 982 | 64% | 2021-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1306 | 1092 | 77% | 2015-07-21 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1083 | 46% | 2009-09-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2007-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2007-02-12 | | Lost |
| 930 | 1000 | 40% | 2006-07-21 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2004-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1065 | 52% | 2001-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1993-11-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1038.7 has a 53.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).