Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (12 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 60
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2023-03-07 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2019-12-17 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2014-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2011-06-03 | | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-06-02 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2008-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 1998-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 832 | 81% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 987.9 has a 60.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).