Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 913 | 1010 | 36% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 943 | 1001 | 42% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1199 | 846 | 88% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 983 | 66% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1028 | 1007 | 53% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1158 | 19% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1170 | 27% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1241 | 14% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1063.2 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).