Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (17 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 799 | 1084 | 16% | 2023-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 971 | 61% | 2023-04-21 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1040 | 61% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-04-13 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1166 | 840 | 87% | 2019-10-13 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1129 | 40% | 2017-12-09 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1001 | 57% | 2017-05-24 | | Won |
| 1014 | 889 | 67% | 2016-08-01 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1042 | 58% | 2016-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2015-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1993-05-07 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 1993-04-11 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | | | Won |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1016.3 has a 54.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).