Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 899 | 1011 | 34% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1193 | 846 | 88% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1152 | 44% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 985 | 66% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 998 | 55% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 1058 | 63% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1158 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1007 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1157 | 30% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1217 | 15% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1054.1 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).