King's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1024 | 1063 | 44% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-02-09 | Lost |
| 1177 | 830 | 88% | 2003-03-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1177 | 24% | 1994-09-25 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.2 vs 1056.8 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).