Last Act in Lorraine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (6 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1141 | 39% | 2007-09-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 847 | 85% | 2003-04-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1099 | 58% | 2002-10-30 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2001-09-25 | Won |
| 965 | 863 | 64% | 2000-08-30 | Won |
| 911 | 1152 | 20% | 1993-08-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1019.2 has a 53.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).