Last Act in Lorraine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (6 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1061 | 52% | 2007-09-11 | Won |
| 1223 | 846 | 90% | 2003-04-03 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2002-10-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1013 | 54% | 2001-09-25 | Won |
| 1062 | 845 | 78% | 2000-08-30 | Won |
| 911 | 1223 | 14% | 1993-08-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1014.3 has a 60.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).