Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (11 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-11-08 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2024-06-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-11-20 | Won |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 697 | 973 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 1069 | 36% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1148 | 44% | 2002-07-06 | Won |
| 1027 | 1126 | 36% | 2001-08-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.8 vs 1088.7 has a 38.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).