Directive Number Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1108 | 1029 | 61% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1208 | 1019 | 75% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 1225 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1216 | 22% | 2017-07-30 | Lost |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1108 | 46% | 2016-04-12 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1309 | 18% | 2016-02-03 | Tied |
| 1037 | 964 | 60% | 2012-07-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 918 | 62% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1143 | 1033 | 65% | 2007-11-11 | Won |
| 1208 | 1095 | 66% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 869 | 1012 | 31% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 940 | 1050 | 35% | 1998-06-13 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1228 | 25% | 1997-10-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1013 | 78% | 1997-10-18 | Won |
| 1169 | 984 | 74% | 1997-04-19 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1064.5 vs 1073.1 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).