Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (11 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 755 | 80% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 755 | 993 | 20% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1027 | 52% | 2013-05-11 | Tied |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2010-02-19 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2009-05-16 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1062 | 65% | 2003-09-26 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1170 | 44% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 983.8 has a 54.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).