Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (9 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 896 | 1012 | 34% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 937 | 1148 | 23% | 1997-08-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1202 | 38% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1053.2 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).