The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 951 | 63% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1186 | 1009 | 73% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
| 1195 | 978 | 78% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 1009 | 69% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1055 | 51% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1080 | 70% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 973 | 958 | 52% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1034 | 52% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 993 | 59% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
| 1309 | 1213 | 63% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1043 | 46% | 2008-08-22 | Won |
| 1081 | 1080 | 50% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1121 | 62% | 2006-01-27 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1074 | 41% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1105.4 vs 1046.4 has a 58.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).