Goch Ya
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (13 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 39
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 871 | 962 | 37% | 2022-04-29 | Won |
| 1022 | 927 | 63% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1127 | 1106 | 53% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 957 | 64% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1099 | 1107 | 49% | 2009-08-29 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1013 | 54% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 898 | 1039 | 31% | 2005-03-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 957 | 79% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1123 | 64% | 2004-01-11 | Won |
| 1015 | 1151 | 31% | 2003-10-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1063.2 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).