The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1202 | 994 | 77% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1202 | 31% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1048.8 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).