The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (8 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1186 | 973 | 77% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1057 | 1186 | 32% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1056.4 has a 55.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).