Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (15 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 36
Defender wins (Japanese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1042 | 60% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 1217 | 20% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 1066 | 70% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1100 | 45% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 973 | 958 | 52% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1152 | 46% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1058 | 60% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 1065 | 49% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 892 | 82% | 2002-10-07 | Won |
| 967 | 1036 | 40% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1071.1 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).