Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (12 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1094 | 58% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1126 | 37% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1077 | 57% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1110 | 39% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 973 | 972 | 50% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1047 | 61% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 1047 | 1065 | 47% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 966 | 1069 | 36% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1084.8 has a 45.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).