The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 749 | 1252 | 5% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1075 | 47% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1313 | 968 | 88% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1263 | 1029 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1202 | 39% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1105 | 53% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1070.6 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).