The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (British): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2021-09-26 | | Won |
| 728 | 1289 | 4% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1011 | 54% | 2014-03-28 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2011-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2009-09-20 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2008-08-04 | | Won |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1104 | 50% | 2004-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1150 | 52% | 2003-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1185 | 41% | 2000-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1056.7 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).