Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (British): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 805 | 927 | 33% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 896 | 1051 | 29% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1260 | 42% | 2025-05-31 | Won |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1132 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 1144 | 27% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1058 | 43% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1041 | 63% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1189 | 964 | 79% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
| 1221 | 1189 | 55% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1126 | 61% | 2001-08-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 977 | 68% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 1025 | 67% | 1997-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1044.8 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).