Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (31 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (British): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2026-08-27 | | Lost |
| 786 | 1006 | 22% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
| 966 | 996 | 46% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2025-05-31 | | Won |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2024-10-17 | | Won |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2024-01-12 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-01-17 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2019-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-11-13 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-03-23 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2013-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2012-06-22 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-02-09 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2007-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2006-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2005-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2004-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2004-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1209 | 23% | 2004-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1134 | 54% | 2001-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1999-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1999-05-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-03-07 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-08-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1997-07-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1043.7 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).