Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1060 | 45% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1108 | 1099 | 51% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 959 | 898 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1105 | 56% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1100 | 34% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 1004 | 38% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 881 | 927 | 43% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1202 | 39% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1148 | 1184 | 45% | 1996-09-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1074.5 has a 44.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).