Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 871 | 1008 | 31% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1039 | 56% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1082 | 1070 | 52% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 911 | 1088 | 27% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 896 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1169 | 46% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1108 | 33% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 1008 | 38% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 949 | 978 | 46% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1208 | 38% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1043 | 1013 | 54% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1080 | 1081 | 50% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1078.1 has a 45.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).