The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1026 | 48% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 965 | 1116 | 30% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 967 | 64% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1094 | 1039 | 58% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1141 | 983 | 71% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 697 | 93% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 979 | 1039 | 41% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1181 | 47% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1248 | 1148 | 64% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1116 | 46% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1015 | 67% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1017.3 has a 58.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).