The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (21 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1027 | 42% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 969 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 996 | 53% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 872 | 69% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1153 | 967 | 74% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1236 | 983 | 81% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 694 | 89% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 945 | 1043 | 36% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1208 | 1230 | 47% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1034 | 911 | 67% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1257 | 1263 | 49% | 2004-11-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1161 | 43% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 994 | 1021 | 46% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1097 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1042.2 has a 54.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).