ASL Scenario Archive

Acts of Defiance

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (German): 18

Defender wins (Russian): 19

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1038	1038	50%	2024-06-30	Lost
1100	1333	21%	2024-03-22	Lost
933	1105	27%	2024-01-29	Lost
1185	1029	71%	2023-01-02	Won
1256	1037	78%	2022-10-21	Won
1075	1041	55%	2022-10-18	Won
1228	1118	65%	2022-06-28	Won
1228	1017	77%	2022-06-28	Won
933	908	54%	2021-09-02	Lost
1048	995	58%	2021-07-14	Won
954	1028	40%	2021-03-09	Won
840	1050	23%	2020-05-17	Lost
1035	1211	27%	2019-06-13	Lost
1178	1135	56%	2019-02-28	Won
1135	1178	44%	2019-01-31	Lost
879	1029	30%	2018-12-31	Lost
1154	1333	26%	2018-05-05	Lost
1026	1040	48%	2018-02-17	Won
1057	1152	37%	2017-10-07	Lost
1211	960	81%	2017-07-20	Won
1108	1161	42%	2017-06-27	Lost
919	897	53%	2017-06-20	Lost
1105	1035	60%	2017-05-29	Lost
986	1007	47%	2016-10-08	Lost
982	1084	36%	2016-09-17	Won
1087	1094	49%	2015-07-19	Tied
1065	922	69%	2014-10-07	Won
1067	917	70%	2012-05-12	Won
982	1084	36%	2011-06-11	Won
1065	988	61%	2009-10-24	Lost
1003	1050	43%	2009-04-05	Won
1180	1416	20%	2007-09-08	Lost
1333	1056	83%	2006-02-12	Won
965	986	47%	2005-05-14	Lost
982	1084	36%	2003-10-03	Won
1069	1028	56%	2002-01-01	Won
938	1029	37%	1999-03-29	Lost
1020	938	62%	1998-03-13	Lost
940	1139	24%	1995-08-02	Lost

Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1068 has a 48.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).