ASL Scenario Archive

Acts of Defiance

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (German): 18

Defender wins (Russian): 19

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1057	1057	50%	2024-06-30	Lost
1100	1313	23%	2024-03-22	Lost
933	1095	28%	2024-01-29	Lost
1189	1092	64%	2023-01-02	Won
1252	996	81%	2022-10-21	Won
1089	1060	54%	2022-10-18	Won
1228	1118	65%	2022-06-28	Won
1228	1017	77%	2022-06-28	Won
933	848	62%	2021-09-02	Lost
1007	1036	46%	2021-07-14	Won
938	1010	40%	2021-03-09	Won
840	1099	18%	2020-05-17	Lost
1035	1193	29%	2019-06-13	Lost
1176	1120	58%	2019-02-28	Won
1120	1176	42%	2019-01-31	Lost
877	1092	22%	2018-12-31	Lost
1153	1313	28%	2018-05-05	Lost
1055	1055	50%	2018-02-17	Won
1048	1147	36%	2017-10-07	Lost
1193	960	79%	2017-07-20	Won
1093	1162	40%	2017-06-27	Lost
914	898	52%	2017-06-20	Lost
1100	1029	60%	2017-05-29	Lost
1019	986	55%	2016-10-08	Lost
948	1082	32%	2016-09-17	Won
1087	1094	49%	2015-07-19	Tied
1060	877	74%	2014-10-07	Won
1066	917	70%	2012-05-12	Won
948	1082	32%	2011-06-11	Won
1060	989	60%	2009-10-24	Lost
1003	1099	37%	2009-04-05	Won
1179	1413	21%	2007-09-08	Lost
1313	1053	82%	2006-02-12	Won
965	986	47%	2005-05-14	Lost
948	1082	32%	2003-10-03	Won
1069	1057	52%	2002-01-01	Won
927	1092	28%	1999-03-29	Lost
927	927	50%	1998-03-13	Lost
940	1202	18%	1995-08-02	Lost

Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1072.4 has a 47.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).