Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (28 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1333 | 1260 | 60% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1124 | 37% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1260 | 926 | 87% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1149 | 1174 | 46% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1056 | 1214 | 29% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1135 | 36% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 912 | 1024 | 34% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 971 | 62% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 903 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1135 | 961 | 73% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 861 | 1135 | 17% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1260 | 39% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 930 | 1059 | 32% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1003 | 57% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1124 | 59% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1089 | 50% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1130 | 36% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1067 | 48% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 991 | 54% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1090 | 45% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1065 | 39% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1124 | 1095 | 54% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1092 | 44% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 840 | 1072 | 21% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1076.4 has a 45.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).