Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (36 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2026-07-18 | Won |
| 948 | 1056 | 35% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1335 | 1227 | 65% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1079 | 51% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1182 | 901 | 83% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 1177 | 46% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1059 | 1216 | 29% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1099 | 41% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 948 | 1055 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 1055 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 971 | 62% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 904 | 70% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1099 | 958 | 69% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1182 | 51% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 951 | 1030 | 39% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1001 | 58% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1196 | 1079 | 66% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1135 | 43% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2014-11-14 | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 937 | 1070 | 32% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1011 | 57% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1060 | 43% | 2013-04-25 | Won |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1066 | 38% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1079 | 1069 | 51% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1292 | 46% | 2000-04-23 | Won |
| 1344 | 919 | 92% | 1999-10-24 | Won |
| 841 | 1077 | 20% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1344 | 15% | 1999-01-16 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1072.7 has a 48.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).