The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1207 | 1014 | 75% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 948 | 853 | 63% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1071 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1186 | 54% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 919 | 1023 | 35% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 958 | 1037 | 39% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 959 | 1167 | 23% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 973 | 55% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1254 | 21% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1040 | 38% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 920 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 825 | 879 | 42% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1019 | 48% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1052.2 has a 45.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).