The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1010 | 68% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1048 | 53% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1068 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 940 | 1025 | 38% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 896 | 1026 | 32% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 960 | 1193 | 21% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 896 | 67% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1004 | 52% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1252 | 20% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1040 | 38% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 827 | 998 | 27% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1098 | 44% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.2 vs 1068.5 has a 43.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).