On the Borderline
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1170 | 51% | 2026-01-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1161 | 37% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 936 | 52% | 2023-09-28 | Won |
| 950 | 1027 | 39% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 890 | 1015 | 33% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2021-04-24 | Won |
| 1158 | 936 | 78% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 950 | 1070 | 33% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 960 | 1048 | 38% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 879 | 58% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2010-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 992.9 vs 1028.4 has a 44.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).