The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1215 | 39% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 939 | 66% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 991 | 1185 | 25% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1203 | 38% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1013 | 921 | 63% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 879 | 66% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1068 | 44% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.1 vs 1045.7 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).