The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 988 | 62% | 2026-01-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 945 | 50% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 954 | 964 | 49% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1226 | 34% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 986 | 937 | 57% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 945 | 1230 | 16% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1083 | 55% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 921 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 945 | 879 | 59% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1136 | 43% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1060 | 43% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1039.8 has a 45.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).