The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1014 | 54% | 2026-01-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1026 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 989 | 1054 | 41% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1227 | 46% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 929 | 69% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 979 | 1225 | 20% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1058 | 58% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 922 | 921 | 50% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1068 | 42% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 1040.8 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).