The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 996 | 42% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 956 | 903 | 58% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1154 | 814 | 88% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 1248 | 1049 | 76% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 995 | 938 | 58% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 996 | 1181 | 26% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1219 | 35% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 921 | 61% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 996 | 877 | 66% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1014.5 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).