Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Romanian): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1018 | 59% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 951 | 75% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1139 | 1215 | 39% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1099 | 979 | 67% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 946 | 51% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1151 | 1066 | 62% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 891 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1211 | 935 | 83% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1090 | 890 | 76% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1211 | 1053 | 71% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1023 | 52% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1007 | 1106 | 36% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1065 | 53% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1108 | 31% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 1068 | 43% | 2008-02-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 938 | 1243 | 15% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1196 | 27% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 1139 | 1113 | 54% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1082 | 58% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1208 | 20% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1123 | 33% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1284 | 1035 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1046.3 has a 53.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).