Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (Romanian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1019 | 59% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 950 | 75% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1177 | 1227 | 43% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 993 | 59% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 979 | 65% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 967 | 945 | 53% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1102 | 935 | 72% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 891 | 76% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1102 | 1053 | 57% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1041 | 50% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1123 | 34% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1098 | 56% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1108 | 31% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1249 | 1243 | 51% | 2009-07-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 1068 | 43% | 2008-02-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 971 | 1243 | 17% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1214 | 24% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 1095 | 1113 | 47% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1274 | 52% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1082 | 52% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1170 | 24% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1180 | 24% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1259 | 1036 | 78% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1054.1 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).