Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Romanian): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1013 | 60% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 951 | 75% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1186 | 1219 | 45% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1014 | 49% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 978 | 67% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 958 | 946 | 52% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 1066 | 56% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1167 | 935 | 79% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 890 | 76% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1167 | 1053 | 66% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1023 | 52% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1007 | 1122 | 34% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1078 | 54% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1109 | 31% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 1068 | 43% | 2008-02-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1244 | 23% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 994 | 1226 | 21% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 1109 | 1113 | 49% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1340 | 42% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1082 | 54% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1216 | 19% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 996 | 1174 | 26% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1284 | 1035 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1051.8 has a 52.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).