Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41
Attacker wins (Romanian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1068 | 51% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 950 | 69% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1170 | 1227 | 42% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 977 | 56% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 979 | 66% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 988 | 944 | 56% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1121 | 1089 | 55% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 982 | 838 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1070 | 935 | 69% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 890 | 76% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1070 | 1053 | 52% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1041 | 50% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1141 | 45% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1108 | 31% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1244 | 53% | 2009-07-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2008-02-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1093 | 54% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1253 | 21% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1158 | 29% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1113 | 30% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1234 | 58% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 913 | 1166 | 19% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2006-04-14 | Lost |
| 967 | 1082 | 34% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1105 | 1101 | 51% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 972 | 1220 | 19% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 964 | 1159 | 25% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1259 | 1035 | 78% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1055.5 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).