Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (40 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 51
Defender wins (German ): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1018 | 54% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 1066 | 1012 | 58% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1026 | 49% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1001 | 860 | 69% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 860 | 1001 | 31% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 981 | 938 | 56% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 938 | 67% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 938 | 67% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1013 | 1026 | 48% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1026 | 994 | 55% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1136 | 960 | 73% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1256 | 908 | 88% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 979 | 80% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 970 | 979 | 49% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1174 | 31% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1240 | 1423 | 26% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 987 | 1026 | 44% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 927 | 1011 | 38% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1026 | 64% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 978 | 75% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1058 | 49% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 963 | 988 | 46% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 929 | 1036 | 35% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1253 | 32% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2004-10-28 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1263 | 49% | 2004-04-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1032 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1036.7 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).