Regalbuto Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (19 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (British): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 750 | 1164 | 8% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1223 | 50% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 993 | 1051 | 42% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-03-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2021-03-22 | Won |
| 959 | 957 | 50% | 2019-09-02 | Won |
| 976 | 1114 | 31% | 2019-03-12 | Won |
| 1158 | 1145 | 52% | 2018-01-31 | Won |
| 977 | 1113 | 31% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1046 | 70% | 2014-12-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 901 | 76% | 2014-08-31 | Won |
| 974 | 949 | 54% | 2012-02-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 1041 | 69% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1006 | 75% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 866 | 1048 | 26% | 1998-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1060.2 has a 47.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).