Descent into Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (15 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 953 | 50% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 977 | 52% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1030 | 41% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1078 | 35% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1210 | 853 | 89% | 2016-11-27 | Won |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 934 | 827 | 65% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 1169 | 28% | 1998-07-18 | Lost |
| 1095 | 919 | 73% | 1993-06-18 | Tied |
| 930 | 932 | 50% | 1993-01-01 | Tied |
| 940 | 1096 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 998.3 vs 992 has a 50.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).