Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (10 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 17
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-12-18 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1202 | 1222 | 47% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1264 | 986 | 83% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2003-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1053.4 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).