Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (10 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 17
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-12-18 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1222 | 1049 | 73% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 954 | 914 | 56% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 991 | 1053 | 41% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1266 | 980 | 84% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1064 | 1080 | 48% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2003-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1010.5 has a 55.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).