Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (10 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-12-18 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-12-14 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-01-20 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1089 | 62% | 2020-10-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2018-07-27 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2009-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-14 | | Won |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2003-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1016.4 has a 52.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).