No Way Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (12 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1052 | 1200 | 30% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
946 | 1005 | 42% | 2023-08-18 | Won |
963 | 1110 | 30% | 2021-12-13 | Lost |
1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2020-01-13 | Lost |
989 | 959 | 54% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
1154 | 1275 | 33% | 2016-02-04 | Tied |
877 | 1118 | 20% | 2013-10-29 | Lost |
1091 | 1097 | 49% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
985 | 1167 | 26% | 2006-01-26 | Won |
1117 | 1033 | 62% | 2005-06-22 | Won |
1200 | 1045 | 71% | 2002-05-29 | Won |
1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2000-01-06 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1089.6 has a 42.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).