No Way Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (13 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1097 | 44% | 2023-10-05 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-08-18 | | Won |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2021-12-13 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2020-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2018-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1281 | 42% | 2016-02-04 | | Tied |
| 918 | 1099 | 26% | 2013-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2013-01-13 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1226 | 25% | 2006-01-26 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2006-01-09 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-06-22 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-05-29 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2000-01-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1070.1 has a 43.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).